Brian's profileInvesting JournalBlogListsNetwork Tools Help
    August 06

    Book Review: Predictably Irrational

    Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces that Shape our Decisions – by Dan Ariely

    I finished listening to the audio CD of this book and really enjoyed it.  I wouldn’t say I particularly learning anything useful, but it was interesting to hear all the studies that prove just how irrational people are.

    Dan cites study after study that prove:

    1. We make decisions by comparing outcomes, rather than weighing factors correctly.  For example, if people are offered 2 similar items, and 1 different item, but 1 of the similar items is clearly better, people will choose the better of the 2 similar items.  Apparently it’s because they can effectively prove they’re not getting the worst of the 3.  This is why selling a new item for a much higher price can actually improve sales of other items, that now look like great deals.

    2. People choose free things irrationally.  When something is offered for free, we often choose it, even when paying for something better would be a more rational choice.  He did an experiment where people were offered a Hershey Kiss for 1 cent, or a Lindt chocolate for 30 cents, people chose the Lindt.  But when the price of each was lowered by 1 cent, people chose the Kiss.  I think we can overcome this by adding $1 (or so) to the price of each item.  Would I rather use an ad-funded, naggy version of an app for $1, or buy the full version for $11?

    3. People overvalue what the own.  When people are offered to sell some expensive tickets they won, they wanted really high prices for them.  Yet when they asked people who didn’t win what they’d pay, they wouldn’t pay nearly so much.  (He tells the story really well about Duke basketball tickets).

    4. People like to leave options (doors) open, but that distracts us from our main goal.  He tells a story about people clicking on doors in a game to get a high score, and even though people didn’t need the door to do well, they tried to prevent it from disappearing.

    5. We are happy to do socially beneficial things, but not when we are paid to do them.  Apparently there are market norms, and social norms.  It’s not good to pay someone to take you to the airport for example, because they stop thinking of the good their doing, and start thinking of if it is worth the money.  A non-monetary gift would be better in such a situation.

    6. It appears that most people are willing to cheat in a scientific study, but likelihood of being caught isn’t much of a deterrent.  If the person is rewarded in non-cash, they’re much more likely to cheat.  He did an experiment where Cokes in college commons areas disappeared, but dollar bills did not.

    Anyway, I liked it, and recommend it lightly, just don’t expect it to be life-changing. :)

    Note, my book notes are probably more for my own benefit than yours.  A 1-page summary just can’t do any book justice.

    Comments (1)

    Please wait...
    Sorry, the comment you entered is too long. Please shorten it.
    You didn't enter anything. Please try again.
    Sorry, we can't add your comment right now. Please try again later.
    To add a comment, you need permission from your parent. Ask for permission
    Your parent has turned off comments.
    Sorry, we can't delete your comment right now. Please try again later.
    You've exceeded the maximum number of comments that can be left in one day. Please try again in 24 hours.
    Your account has had the ability to leave comments disabled because our systems indicate that you may be spamming other users. If you believe that your account has been disabled in error please contact Windows Live support.
    Complete the security check below to finish leaving your comment.
    The characters you type in the security check must match the characters in the picture or audio.

    To add a comment, sign in with your Windows Live ID (if you use Hotmail, Messenger, or Xbox LIVE, you have a Windows Live ID). Sign in


    Don't have a Windows Live ID? Sign up

    dde dwqdewwrote:
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/m8244.htm apple m8244 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A1012.htm apple A1012 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A8244.htm apple A8244 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A8433.htm apple A1008 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A1061.htm apple A1061 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/M8665.htm apple M8665 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A8416.htm apple A8416 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/M8416.htm apple M8416 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A1057.htm apple A1057 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A1039.htm apple A1039 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A8983.htm apple A8983 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/M8511.htm apple M8511 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A1189.htm apple A1189 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/apple/A1151.htm apple A1151 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/pa3536u-1brs.htm toshiba pa3536u-1brs battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/satellite-p200.htm toshiba satellite p200 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/satellite-p205.htm toshiba satellite p205 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/pa3534u-1brs.htm toshiba pa3534u-1brs battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/satellite-a205.htm toshiba satellite a205 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/acer/3ur18650y-2-qc236.htm acer 3ur18650y-2-qc236 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/acer/aspire-9300.htm acer aspire 9300 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-1100-series.htm dell inspiron 1100 series battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-1150.htm dell inspiron 1150 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-5150.htm dell inspiron 5150 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-5160.htm dell inspiron 5160 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-5100.htm dell inspiron 5100 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/latitude-131l.htm dell latitude 131l battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/vostro-1000.htm dell vostro 1000 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-b120.htm dell inspiron b120 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-b130.htm dell inspiron b130 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-6400.htm dell inspiron 6400 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-6000.htm dell inspiron 6000 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/dell/inspiron-9200.htm dell inspiron 9200 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/hp/7400.htm hp 7400 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/hp/dv9200.htm hp dv9200 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/hp/dv9100.htm hp dv9100 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/hp/dv9600.htm hp dv9600 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/satellite-m65.htm toshiba satellite m65 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/pa3128u-grey.htm toshiba pa3128u grey battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/pa3191u-grey.htm toshiba pa3191u grey battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/acer/as07b71.htm acer as07b71 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/acer/as07b72.htm acer as07b72 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/ibm/thinkpad-t42.htm ibm thinkpad t42 battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/pa3285u-1brs.htm toshiba pa3285u-1brs battery
    http://www.batteryfast.com.au/toshiba/pa3285u-1bas.htm toshiba pa3285u-1bas battery
    Nov. 17

    Trackbacks

    The trackback URL for this entry is:
    http://briankramp.spaces.live.com/blog/cns!FB414355CC45FFEB!1105.trak
    Weblogs that reference this entry
    • None